Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005501 0.006071 0.006661 0.007316 0.008020 0.008755 0.009578
2024-12-29 0.004715 0.005547 0.006451 0.007501 0.008682 0.009967 0.011465
2025-01-05 0.004262 0.005255 0.006371 0.007710 0.009264 0.011002 0.013085
2025-01-12 0.003720 0.004784 0.006017 0.007541 0.009358 0.011439 0.013990
2025-01-19 0.003354 0.004477 0.005816 0.007511 0.009578 0.011996 0.015015
2025-01-26 0.003015 0.004170 0.005582 0.007412 0.009690 0.012405 0.015852
2025-02-02 0.002763 0.003947 0.005431 0.007394 0.009884 0.012900 0.016789
2025-02-09 0.002533 0.003735 0.005275 0.007351 0.010034 0.013333 0.017645
2025-02-16 0.002419 0.003664 0.005293 0.007527 0.010454 0.014102 0.018926
2025-02-23 0.002206 0.003445 0.005100 0.007412 0.010491 0.014382 0.019590
2025-03-02 0.002062 0.003310 0.005010 0.007425 0.010688 0.014861 0.020507
2025-03-09 0.002013 0.003307 0.005098 0.007676 0.011201 0.015753 0.021968
2025-03-16 0.001909 0.003220 0.005068 0.007769 0.011510 0.016396 0.023130
2025-03-23 0.001845 0.003188 0.005112 0.007964 0.011961 0.017233 0.024561
2025-03-30 0.001794 0.003170 0.005174 0.008183 0.012446 0.018121 0.026072
2025-04-06 0.001633 0.002973 0.004966 0.008006 0.012375 0.018258 0.026581
2025-04-13 0.001526 0.002853 0.004862 0.007975 0.012502 0.018659 0.027447
2025-04-20 0.001409 0.002709 0.004715 0.007870 0.012518 0.018906 0.028104
2025-04-27 0.001321 0.002608 0.004629 0.007852 0.012654 0.019315 0.028984
2025-05-04 0.001235 0.002502 0.004529 0.007807 0.012748 0.019666 0.029786
2025-05-11 0.001204 0.002492 0.004579 0.007991 0.013178 0.020493 0.031257
2025-05-18 0.001112 0.002365 0.004436 0.007871 0.013154 0.020674 0.031829
2025-05-25 0.001052 0.002295 0.004381 0.007884 0.013328 0.021137 0.032799